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Whatever the case, a wounded ISS will have been fairly rotten luck. Back in 2017, scientists from NASA and a Russian space contractor put the odds of this worst-case scenario at 1 in 121. As of late 2025, NASA told WIRED the risk of debris causing a depressurization event in any six-month period was somewhere between 1 in 36 and 1 in 170.
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Tom Hanks, who played Lovell in the 1995 movie Apollo 13, called the astronaut one of those people "who dare, who dream, and who lead others to the places we would not go on our own".